How he can win: Mike Trout’s 2012 season ignited a huge amount of debate amongst fans and analysts as to how players should be assessed, especially in the MVP debate. Advanced statistics generally showed Trout to be the most valuable player in baseball due to his adeptness at every facet of the game—he got on base, hit for average and power, stole bases and rarely got caught, and played top-notch defense. Last season, Trout lost to traditional thinking—Cabrera won the triple crown and won MVP pretty easily. But if Trout can have another 2012-caliber season, it’d be hard to believe if gets denied twice.
Why he might not: Did we mention this kid is barely old enough to drink? Good as he is, he’s still the dark horse because of his age. He only has one season under his belt and as much potential as he has, such an amazing rookie season could lead to a sophomore slump, or sophomore ‘come-back-to-earth’ in Trout’s case. MVP voting that favors guys with the most home runs and RBIs also hurt his cause last year, and the voter mentality will probably be similar in 2013.