How he can win: The 2010 NL MVP, Votto missed out on a ripe opportunity to make a run for his second title last year when he was knocked out for a couple months with a knee injury. In the 111 games he managed to play, he set a scorching pace, hitting .337 with a .474 OBP. Had he stayed healthy, he would have been the favorite. Of course, he’ll have a chance to secure another MVP in 2013 if he can have a more complete version of his 2012 campaign.
Why he might not: All things considered, Votto doesn’t look like a bad option if you’re making a bet. But like Kemp, he’s clearly not invincible and shouldn’t be expected to keep his numbers at staggeringly high levels for the length of his career.