Philip Rivers (#7 vs.
#12 consensus) may have let us down with five turnovers last week, one of which led to Melvin Gordon hurting his hip, but that gives way to his opportunity in Week 15 against the Raiders at home. While Oakland has held opposing QBs to a paltry 4:4 TD-to-INT ratio over their last four weeks, but that includes “gunslingers” like Brock Osweiler, Tyrod Taylor and Alex Smith. The truth is that Oakland still has the #21 pass defense per Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, and if Melvin Gordon is limited then Rivers is going to need to do the heavy lifting. The ceiling is there.
Another likely unpopular opinion here, as I’ve got Colin Kaepernick (#12 vs. #17 consensus) up five spots into fringe QB1 territory against the Falcons. Like the Raiders, Atlanta has enjoyed a recent streak of success against lost QBs like Carson Wentz, Jared Goff and Smith. I’m just genuinely not a believer, even though one could easily place Kaep in that same tier of uninspiring passers. Atlanta should establish a huge lead and control this game, leaving Kaepernick in a risk-taking, game-changing spot from the get-go. I’ll roll my dice that his legs make something happen, rather than another implosion.
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